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TIt’s not your grandfather’s Democratic Party anymore. In fact, your grandfather is probably now a Republican. A political realignment is on the horizon, while wealthy white Democrats ignore kitchen table issues.
the New York Times continues to release data from the most recent Siena College survey. Data posted on wednesday show the changing demographics of the bipartisan dichotomy. “For the first time in a Times/Siena National Poll, Democrats had a higher share of support among white college graduates than among non-white voters,” writes Nate Cohen. “Recently, in the 2016 congressional elections, the Democrats won more than 70 percent of non-white voters and lost among white college graduates.”
Fifty-seven percent of college-educated whites support the Democratic Party in the midterm elections, while 36% support the Republicans. There can’t be much hesitation because only 7% refused to answer or have yet to decide. When gender is included in the equation, another division emerges. “Women drove Democratic strength among the group, with college-educated white women backing Democrats, 64-30,” says Cohen. “Democrats barely led among college-educated white men, 46-45.”
White voters without college degrees paint a very different picture. Fifty-four percent of white voters without a college education support the Republican Party and 23% support the Democratic Party. The undecided are as numerous as those firmly in the Democratic camp, with 23% not knowing who they will vote for. the New York Times The Siena College analysis and cross tabulations do not mention the gender divide among these voters.
Regional differences play an important role in the survey. Half of Northeast voters and 52% of Western respondents support Democrats. Meanwhile, the Republicans have the support of a plurality of voters in the Midwest and the South.
College-educated whites are far more concerned with pushing the boundaries of social issues than addressing the economic issues at hand, and it’s costing them. “The economy may be helping Republicans more among Hispanic voters, who preferred Democrats to control Congress, 41-38,” Cohen writes. “Hispanics voted for Democrats by a margin of almost 50 points in the 2018 midterm elections, according to data from PewResearch”.
Twenty percent say the economy is the most important issue facing the nation right now, with inflation coming in second at 15%. At 28%, Hispanic voters are more concerned about the economy than any other racial or ethnic group and are on par with black and white voters on inflation.
In total, 42% of Hispanics are more concerned about the economy and inflation. On the other hand, 36% of white voters and 23% of black voters believe these issues are the most important.
Concerns about the economy are translating into support for the Republican Party. Sixty-two percent of voters who say the economy and inflation are the most important problems facing the United States support Republican control of Congress. Cohen labels this group as “often less wealthy, nonwhite, and moderate.”
Put two and two together and you get a Democratic Party that relies on wealthy women who live in coastal cities. They can’t maintain support among Hispanic voters because they have the luxury of being able to protest during the week while low-income voters work for a living.
Affluent Democratic voters are quick to accuse Republicans of “privilege,” but they don’t see privilege in their political priorities. Millions of working-class people of diverse racial backgrounds have to modify their lifestyles to support their families. “It’s the economy, stupid” was true in 1992, and it’s true once again as we approach the midterm elections.
James Sweet is a summer of 2022 washington examiner co-worker.